Kreate Strategies (KStrat) has already released poll numbers for the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial race between Representative Andy Biggs (R-AZ), Governor Katie Hobbs (D-AZ), and Karrin Taylor Robson (R), and a lead has already been established.
Between the three current contenders in head-to-head matchups, Gov. Hobbs has a two-point lead in favorability (40%) over Robson (38%). Yet, the Democratic Governor is a single point behind Rep. Biggs at 43% favorability to his 44%.
Regarding general favorability, Rep. Biggs had a 52% rating overall, with 26% of respondents having a somewhat favorable opinion of him while 26% had a very favorable opinion.
By contrast, 45% of those surveyed had a very unfavorable view of Gov. Hobbs, and 11% had a somewhat unfavorable view. In comparison, a combined 41% of respondents held a favorable view of Hobbs, split between 22% who held a very favorable view and 19% who had a somewhat favorable view, and the remaining 4% were unsure.
Such a stark contrast paints a polarized opinion of the Arizona Governor, with a clear divide along party lines.
Finally, Robson had the lowest favorable and unfavorable ratings, as 43% of respondents were unsure. A combined 28% viewed Robson favorably, while 29% viewed her unfavorably.
Such partisanship is clearer when party lines are drawn, with Hobbs dominating an 84% combined approval rating among Democrats, with 46% of Democrats viewing the Governor very favorably and 38% viewing her somewhat favorably.
Biggs was shown to have a strong favorability rating among Republicans, with 57% already having very favorable views and 23% viewing him somewhat favorably.
Robson remained somewhat unknown to Republicans, with 17% of Republicans viewing her very favorably and 26% saying they saw her somewhat favorably.
KStrat's survey was taken between February 5th and February 7th, the week before Robson announced her candidacy for Governor, emphasizing her endorsement by President Donald Trump.
Such an ad will likely bring more significant publicity to Robson's campaign and could affect poll rankings as August 2026 gets closer.
