Arizona Politics

With One Week Left, Lake Continues to Close in on Gallego in Polls

With November 5th just a week away, the finish line for Arizona Senate candidates Kari Lake (R) and Representative Ruben Gallego (D-AZ) is closing in. Rep. Gallego's lead in the polls is also shrinking as Lake catches up to him, making the average tighter than ever.

In our last update, Five Thirty-Eight placed Rep. Gallego at an average of 8.2% over Lake, while 270 to Win put him at 7.8%, and Real Clear Polling calculated an average lead for the Arizona Congressman over Lake at 6.8%.

Since then, Lake has begun closing the gap, with Five Thirty-Eight and Real Clear Polling winding down Rep. Gallego's average lead to just 6%.

Three polls, including an October 12th-17th survey from Atlas Intel, an October 19th-20th poll from Insider Advantage, and an October 24th-26th survey from the Trafalgar Group place Rep. Gallego just 4 points ahead of Lake, while a Marist College poll run from October 17th to the 22nd doubled his lead to 8%, a survey from High Ground taken between October 19th-20th gave him an extra point for a 9% lead, and an October 16th-18th poll from Redfield & Wilton Strategies placed him at 7% over Lake.

270 to Win uses the same polls to calculate its latest average. However, it logged a 9% lead from High Ground, as reported by Five Thirty-Eight and Real Clear Polling, as 10%, raising the total average from an exact 6% to a slightly higher 6.6%.

While these numbers retain Gallego's lead over Lake, the former gubernatorial candidate recently told Fox News's Laura Ingraham, "My internal polling looks much closer and better. I know what the polling is by talking to the people, and the people are very active right now. They are activated to vote for Trump and me, and they are learning a little bit more about Ruben Gallego. The media has not covered him well; he spent $100 million doing an extreme makeover trying to paint himself as a moderate when he is the most radical left member of Congress that nobody has ever heard of."

 

Grayson Bakich

Florida born and raised, Grayson Bakich is a recent recipient of a Master’s Degree in Political Science at the University of Central Florida. His thesis examined recent trends in political polarization and how this leads into justification of violence.

Recent Posts

Karrin Taylor Robson Criticizes Congress as National Debt Hits $38 Trillion

Karrin Taylor Robson is speaking out about the growing national debt, which just reached a…

23 hours ago

Yassamin Ansari Demands Transparency Regarding White House Ballroom Project

Representative Yassamin Ansari has joined two congressional colleagues in demanding transparency about construction at the…

23 hours ago

Abe Hamadeh Praises FBI Director Kash Patel for Uncovering Massive NBA Gambling Ring

Representative Abe Hamadeh (R-AZ) praised FBI Director Kash Patel for uncovering the massive National Basketball…

1 day ago

Ruben Gallego Joins Letter Demanding Trump Stick By Not Letting Israel Annex West Bank

Senator Ruben Gallego (D-AZ) signed a recent letter to President Donald Trump urging him to…

1 day ago

Arizona Families Face Healthcare Crisis as Tax Credits Set to Expire

Local Hispanic business and community leaders gathered in Phoenix on Thursday to urge Arizona's congressional…

1 day ago

Eli Crane Leads Bipartisan Letter Requesting Federal Water Infrastructure Assistance

Representative Eli Crane (R-AZ) is requesting federal assistance to update the town of Page's water…

2 days ago