Trump Leading Biden amongst Hispanics and Young Voters, New Poll Shows

Trump Leading Biden amongst Hispanics and Young Voters, New Poll Shows

A new USA Today/Suffolk University Poll shows Trump overtaking Biden amongst Hispanic and young voters under 35

Christian Pitten
Christian Pitten
|
January 3, 2024

In a new poll conducted by USA Today and Suffolk University, President Joe Biden is now trailing former President Trump amongst Hispanic and young voters.

According to the poll, Biden’s support amongst Hispanic voters is 34 percent, while Trump is polling at 39 percent. This number is a new low for President Biden who – just four years ago – crushed Trump with the Hispanic vote, winning 65 percent of the group's support.

Hispanic voters aren't the only ones shying away from the current president. Young voters, too, are also separating themselves from the Biden's reelection efforts. While Biden trounced Trump with support amongst young voters in the 2020 election, winning over the group by 24 points, the new poll shows that Trump is now in the lead. The poll found that Trump leads Biden among voters under 35 years of age. Trump received 37 percent support, while Biden only received 33 percent.

Biden also saw his lead dwindle when it came to his support amongst black voters. While Biden received 87 percent of the black vote in the 2020 election, according to the poll, he is now sitting at 63 percent.

The good news for President Biden is that many of these voters polled haven’t necessarily switched sides to support Trump. Instead, many of these voters have opted to support third-party candidates. The poll found that one in every five Hispanic and black voters will be supporting a third-party candidate come next November (given it’s a Trump/Biden rematch).

As for the 2024 presidential election, polling still shows a hotly contested race. According to Real Clear Politics, Trump currently has an average lead of 1 percentage point over Biden. With this being said, some polls, such as a recent one conducted by Rasmussen Reports, have Trump up 8 percentage points. On the other hand, a poll recently conducted by Susquehanna, has Biden leading the former president by as much as 7 percentage points.

Polling Data

Poll Date Sample MoE
Trump (R)
Biden (D) *
Kennedy (I)
Spread
RCP Average 10/12 - 12/18 -- -- 38.3 37.3 15.3 Trump +1.0
Quinnipiac 12/14 - 12/18 1647 RV 2.4 36 38 22 Biden +2
Harvard-Harris 12/13 - 12/14 2034 RV 2.0 44 36 20 Trump +8
Rasmussen Reports 12/6 - 12/7 892 LV 3.0 40 32 16 Trump +8
Harvard-Harris 11/15 - 11/16 2851 RV -- 44 36 21 Trump +8
Reuters/Ipsos 11/13 - 11/14 1006 A 4.0 32 30 20 Trump +2
Quinnipiac 11/9 - 11/13 1574 RV 2.5 38 37 21 Trump +1
Rasmussen Reports 11/8 - 11/12 987 LV 3.0 39 38 12 Trump +1
Quinnipiac 10/26 - 10/30 1610 RV 2.4 36 39 22 Biden +3
Susquehanna 10/17 - 10/27 1000 RV 3.2 40 47 6 Biden +7
USA Today/Suffolk 10/17 - 10/20 1000 RV 3.1 37 38 14 Biden +1
Harvard-Harris 10/18 - 10/19 2116 RV 2.0 42 36 22 Trump +6
Yahoo News 10/12 - 10/16 1122 RV -- 39 40 9 Biden +1
NPR/PBS/Marist 10/11 - 10/11 1218 RV 3.9 37 44 16 Biden +7
Reuters/Ipsos 10/3 - 10/4 672 LV -- 40 38 14 Trump +2

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Christian Pitten

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