Categories: Arizona Politics

BREAKING: New Poll Shows Clinton Leads in Arizona

The RealClearPolitics average of polls shows AZ as a toss up with Trump leading the avg. by 1%. But that was before the last poll from Data Orbital was released.

The poll released this morning, show Hillary Clinton with a 1% lead in the state. But the numbers have to be more worrisome than that since Hispanics which represent almost 33% of the state's electorate, are undersampled, accounting for only 20% of the poll respondents.

Trump 42%
Clinton 43%
Johnson 5%
Undecided 6%

Also, given that Clinton's campaign looks much more organized on the ground and with the aid of third-party groups like "Mi Familia Vota, which registered close to 150k new democrat voters in the past three weeks, Arizona is starting to look like a very tricky proposition for the Trump campaign.

Going back to the average, which has not yet calculated this last poll...It takes into account the last 4 polls of the state. Once this poll gets calculated into it, they will drop the oldest poll which shows Trump up by 4%, swinging the RCP average from +1% for Trump to a tie.

The poll also includes new numbers on prop 205 which would legalize recreational marijuana in the state. That race is currently a toss-up as well.


 

Nicole Carroll

Recent Posts

Eli Crane Wants Iran Conflict 'Wrapped Up as Soon as Possible'

Representative Eli Crane (R-AZ) discussed the Iran conflict in a recent appearance on One America…

8 hours ago

Greg Stanton Leads Effort to Reject Trump's Election Executive Order

Representative Greg Stanton (D-AZ) is spearheading a letter to acting Attorney General Todd Blanche, demanding…

9 hours ago

Less Waiting, Faster Recovery: New Arizona Law Speeds Up Insurance Claims Process

After a disaster, the paperwork shouldn't add to the burden. For many Arizonans filing insurance…

12 hours ago

Warren Petersen Celebrates Passage of Bill Preventing Release of Dangerous Criminals

State Senate President Warren Petersen (R-14) is celebrating the signing of HB 2307 into law,…

13 hours ago

Carine Werner Turned a System's Failure Into a Legislative Win for Indigenous Children

A new Arizona law aimed at strengthening protections for Indigenous children is now on the…

13 hours ago

Yassamin Ansari Vows to Push for Bondi to Face Accountability

Congresswoman Yassamin Ansari (D-AZ) has made one thing clear: Pam Bondi's firing doesn't mean the…

14 hours ago